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Red176
494044.1
965924.3
132567.7
Blue103
1001521.5
613522.0
1016724.6
98%Model gave it2%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1467350100200250176103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+75Teleop
+91Endgame
+73Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave0
6Coral scored#4
30Coral points19
36Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +58
25Coral scored#11
90Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
118Total teleop60
Reef
12L4#5
9L3#4
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#20
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +73
6Foul points24
176Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.72.6
54.156.6
Auto19.0
Teleop43.5
End5.2
red by 43.1
24.60.1
25.625.5
Auto5.8
Teleop18.2
End0.6
Second
44.12.6
39.341.9
Auto5.0
Teleop30.5
End8.5
red by 22.1
6135
#43
22.00.1
18.518.4
Auto7.9
Teleop12.2
End1.9
Third
9659
#27
24.32.6
17.720.2
Auto7.6
Teleop14.7
End1.9
red by 2.8
21.50.1
17.617.5
Auto6.7
Teleop13.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed