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Red175
808941.6
765935.6
415270.4
Blue179
270629.8
755874.8
373951.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146153100120160180200220240175179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+24
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave3
8Coral scored#5
40Coral points27
40Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +34
19Coral scored#23
67Coral points83
4Processor algae#3
2Net algae#8
24Processor points18
8Net points32
32Algae points50
99Total teleop133
Reef
10L4#10
7L3#9
4L2#6
6L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#39
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
175Total score179

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4152
#12
70.42.2
65.567.7
Auto21.2
Teleop40.8
End8.5
blue by 4.3
74.81.9
66.768.6
Auto19.6
Teleop44.7
End10.5
Second
8089
#19
41.62.2
33.335.5
Auto6.5
Teleop26.9
End8.2
blue by 9.6
3739
#21
51.21.9
43.845.7
Auto9.0
Teleop39.8
End2.4
Third
7659
#32
35.62.2
31.834.0
Auto4.4
Teleop21.3
End9.9
red by 5.8
2706
#36
29.81.9
29.231.1
Auto4.1
Teleop25.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsEarned29%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned