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Red57
834928.7
775715.4
77115.5
Blue207
490785.1
1055448.2
503130.4
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6619605010015025030057207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+130
Endgame+140
Fouls+150
AutonomousBlue +27
9Leave9
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points27
9Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +103
9Coral scored#30
32Coral points109
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#6
6Processor points12
4Net points24
10Algae points36
42Total teleop145
Reef
4L4#10
3L3#12
1L2#7
1L1 · trough#6
11Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +150
0Foul points10
57Total score207

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8349
#15
28.71.4
24.723.3
Auto5.5
Teleop18.0
End5.1
blue by 56.5
4907
#10
85.11.8
80.382.1
Auto20.8
Teleop54.1
End10.3
Second
771
#49
15.51.4
16.615.1
Auto2.6
Teleop11.9
End1.0
blue by 32.7
48.21.8
44.646.4
Auto7.6
Teleop39.2
End1.4
Third
7757
#50
15.41.4
19.518.1
Auto4.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 15.0
5031
#25
30.41.8
29.431.1
Auto5.0
Teleop24.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed61%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned