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Qual 632025 FIRST Ontario Provincial Championship - Science Division
Red97
136051.2
503628.7
952528.8
Blue101
1002719.4
293556.4
1016724.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123114608010014016018020022097101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+24
Endgame+16
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave9
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points10
22Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +27
10Coral scored#16
35Coral points56
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
0Processor points6
12Net points12
12Algae points18
47Total teleop74
Reef
7L4#5
2L3#6
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#22
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
14Foul points2
97Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1360
#18
51.21.7
48.5→46.8
Auto12.2
Teleop35.9
End3.0
blue by 5.2
2935
#26
56.40.3
55.6→55.3
Auto10.3
Teleop41.3
End4.8
Second
9525
#11
28.81.7
30.1→28.4
Auto7.0
Teleop19.7
End2.0
red by 4.1
10167
#29
24.60.3
25.5→25.2
Auto5.8
Teleop18.2
End0.6
Third
5036
#22
28.71.7
30.2→28.5
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End10.9
red by 9.3
10027
#46
19.40.3
22.1→21.8
Auto5.2
Teleop14.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed