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Qual 642025 FIRST Ontario Provincial Championship - Science Division
Red62
873114.9
373951.2
270834.8
Blue163
834928.7
613522.0
132567.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211175010015020062163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+67
Endgame+85
Fouls+101
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave3
1Coral scored#6
7Coral points31
16Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +49
6Coral scored#18
22Coral points65
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
40Total teleop89
Reef
3L4#9
2L3#7
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
11Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +101
0Foul points16
62Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3739
#21
51.23.2
45.7→42.5
Auto9.0
Teleop39.8
End2.4
blue by 16.5
1325
#6
67.72.7
56.6→59.3
Auto19.0
Teleop43.5
End5.2
Second
2708
#16
34.83.2
36.5→33.3
Auto7.1
Teleop24.4
End3.3
red by 6.2
8349
#15
28.72.7
23.3→26.0
Auto5.5
Teleop18.0
End5.1
Third
8731
#37
14.93.2
19.0→15.8
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.6
blue by 7.1
6135
#43
22.02.7
18.4→21.1
Auto7.9
Teleop12.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned