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Red130
755874.8
965924.3
663231.6
Blue167
494044.1
752057.2
270629.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148154100120140180200220130167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+23
Endgame+21
Fouls+37
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points30
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +23
16Coral scored#19
56Coral points67
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#4
12Processor points24
16Net points16
28Algae points40
84Total teleop107
Reef
10L4#10
4L3#9
6L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#33
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points16
130Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.80.0
68.668.6
Auto19.6
Teleop44.7
End10.5
red by 17.6
7520
#20
57.20.8
55.356.0
Auto18.6
Teleop36.3
End2.4
Second
6632
#24
31.60.0
30.330.3
Auto5.1
Teleop18.9
End7.6
blue by 12.4
44.10.8
41.942.7
Auto5.0
Teleop30.5
End8.5
Third
9659
#27
24.30.0
20.220.2
Auto7.6
Teleop14.7
End1.9
blue by 5.6
2706
#36
29.80.8
31.131.8
Auto4.1
Teleop25.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned49%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned