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Red187
263427.7
490785.1
503239.2
Blue154
611043.6
808941.6
1055448.2
77%Model gave it23%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163128100150200250187154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+35Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points10
33Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +21
27Coral scored#23
96Coral points83
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
24Processor points12
20Net points24
44Algae points36
140Total teleop119
Reef
10L4#13
9L3#6
6L2#3
7L1 · trough#3
41Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
187Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4907
#10
85.12.3
82.184.3
Auto20.8
Teleop54.1
End10.3
red by 36.9
48.21.6
46.448.0
Auto7.6
Teleop39.2
End1.4
Second
5032
#30
39.22.3
34.136.3
Auto5.1
Teleop33.6
End0.5
blue by 4.4
6110
#35
43.61.6
36.438.0
Auto5.5
Teleop35.6
End2.4
Third
2634
#33
27.72.3
25.727.9
Auto4.3
Teleop22.4
End0.9
blue by 13.9
8089
#19
41.61.6
35.537.1
Auto6.5
Teleop26.9
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned72%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned