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Red165
130531.8
270629.8
124178.2
Blue134
219835.1
752057.2
1002719.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15910550200250165134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+29Teleop
+29Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
7Coral scored#6
34Coral points31
40Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +26
24Coral scored#19
85Coral points69
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
12Processor points6
20Net points16
32Algae points22
117Total teleop91
Reef
14L4#11
6L3#4
7L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
4Foul points2
165Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.20.5
79.379.8
Auto22.0
Teleop53.6
End2.6
red by 21.0
7520
#20
57.21.1
56.057.2
Auto18.6
Teleop36.3
End2.4
Second
1305
#17
31.80.5
31.231.7
Auto10.8
Teleop19.2
End1.8
blue by 3.2
2198
#23
35.11.1
25.927.1
Auto7.6
Teleop24.1
End3.4
Third
2706
#36
29.80.5
31.832.3
Auto4.1
Teleop25.3
End0.4
red by 10.4
19.41.1
21.823.0
Auto5.2
Teleop14.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
61%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed