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Red89
270629.8
834928.7
952528.8
Blue77
705824.1
503239.2
713616.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109904060801001201401601808977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+12Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points15
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +15
15Coral scored#8
55Coral points30
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
73Total teleop58
Reef
4L4#4
5L3#4
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
89Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2706
#36
29.80.9
32.331.4
Auto4.1
Teleop25.3
End0.4
blue by 9.4
5032
#30
39.20.6
36.335.7
Auto5.1
Teleop33.6
End0.5
Second
9525
#11
28.80.9
28.527.6
Auto7.0
Teleop19.7
End2.0
red by 4.7
7058
#34
24.10.6
21.621.0
Auto8.6
Teleop13.2
End2.3
Third
8349
#15
28.70.9
27.426.5
Auto5.5
Teleop18.0
End5.1
red by 12.2
7136
#44
16.40.6
19.018.4
Auto4.0
Teleop12.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed