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Qual 782025 FIRST Ontario Provincial Championship - Science Division
Red107
571920.2
502446.1
591242.6
Blue144
1016724.6
77115.5
124178.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12314880100140160180200220107144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+37
Endgame+35
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
6Coral scored#7
30Coral points34
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +30
13Coral scored#16
47Coral points57
2Processor algae#4
3Net algae#5
12Processor points24
12Net points20
24Algae points44
71Total teleop101
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#6
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#32
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
2Foul points4
107Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5024
#14
46.10.7
43.5→42.8
Auto13.0
Teleop28.8
End4.4
blue by 32.0
1241
#2
78.20.7
79.8→80.5
Auto22.0
Teleop53.6
End2.6
Second
5912
#39
42.60.7
42.1→41.5
Auto9.9
Teleop32.5
End0.2
red by 17.9
10167
#29
24.60.7
25.1→25.8
Auto5.8
Teleop18.2
End0.6
Third
5719
#48
20.20.7
20.7→20.0
Auto3.5
Teleop14.3
End2.5
red by 4.7
771
#49
15.50.7
16.6→17.3
Auto2.6
Teleop11.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
66%Coral oddsMissed69%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed