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Red151
86558.7
136051.2
285226.4
Blue159
490785.1
494044.1
926315.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154174120140160200220240151159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+14
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points24
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +21
20Coral scored#16
72Coral points59
2Processor algae#5
2Net algae#6
12Processor points30
8Net points24
20Algae points54
92Total teleop113
Reef
9L4#9
8L3#5
6L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
6Foul points0
151Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#13
58.70.2
56.456.3
Auto15.2
Teleop34.6
End8.9
blue by 26.5
4907
#10
85.10.3
84.283.9
Auto20.8
Teleop54.1
End10.3
Second
1360
#18
51.20.2
48.248.0
Auto12.2
Teleop35.9
End3.0
red by 7.1
44.10.3
44.043.8
Auto5.0
Teleop30.5
End8.5
Third
2852
#45
26.40.2
28.027.8
Auto6.1
Teleop18.6
End1.7
red by 11.1
9263
#41
15.30.3
13.913.6
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed39%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned