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Red166
978559.9
373951.2
263427.7
Blue241
888471.8
403968.6
755874.8
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12123350100150200250300166241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+51
Endgame+71
Fouls+75
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
6Coral scored#8
31Coral points42
37Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +37
19Coral scored#29
69Coral points104
4Processor algae#5
6Net algae#5
24Processor points30
24Net points20
48Algae points50
117Total teleop154
Reef
10L4#15
7L3#6
4L2#7
4L1 · trough#9
35Game pieces#47
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
6Foul points10
166Total score241

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.91.7
51.252.9
Auto14.0
Teleop42.9
End3.0
blue by 14.8
74.80.5
68.568.9
Auto19.6
Teleop44.7
End10.5
Second
3739
#21
51.21.7
43.445.1
Auto9.0
Teleop39.8
End2.4
blue by 20.6
71.80.5
74.274.7
Auto18.3
Teleop47.1
End6.3
Third
2634
#33
27.71.7
28.430.1
Auto4.3
Teleop22.4
End0.9
blue by 40.9
68.60.5
70.070.5
Auto20.1
Teleop42.5
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsEarned95%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed98%Barge oddsEarned