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Red160
132567.7
219835.1
270834.8
Blue137
293556.4
1055448.2
663231.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13014550100200160137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+35Teleop
+33Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave9
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points8
30Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +22
19Coral scored#16
70Coral points56
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#5
18Processor points18
28Net points20
46Algae points38
116Total teleop94
Reef
5L4#5
8L3#7
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points10
160Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.72.6
60.262.8
Auto19.0
Teleop43.5
End5.2
red by 11.3
2935
#26
56.40.3
53.453.0
Auto10.3
Teleop41.3
End4.8
Second
2198
#23
35.12.6
27.129.6
Auto7.6
Teleop24.1
End3.4
blue by 13.2
48.20.3
48.047.7
Auto7.6
Teleop39.2
End1.4
Third
2708
#16
34.82.6
33.936.5
Auto7.1
Teleop24.4
End3.3
red by 3.2
6632
#24
31.60.3
30.630.2
Auto5.1
Teleop18.9
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
59%Coral oddsEarned29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsEarned