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Red142
1001521.5
124178.2
834928.7
Blue80
611043.6
873114.9
713616.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1617605010020025014280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+60Teleop
+62Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave3
6Coral scored#1
28Coral points6
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +32
21Coral scored#14
75Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
93Total teleop61
Reef
14L4#5
6L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
6Foul points6
142Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.20.0
80.580.5
Auto22.0
Teleop53.6
End2.6
red by 34.6
6110
#35
43.60.5
38.938.5
Auto5.5
Teleop35.6
End2.4
Second
8349
#15
28.70.0
26.526.5
Auto5.5
Teleop18.0
End5.1
red by 12.2
7136
#44
16.40.5
18.417.9
Auto4.0
Teleop12.2
End0.2
Third
21.50.0
19.919.9
Auto6.7
Teleop13.0
End1.8
red by 6.6
8731
#37
14.90.5
15.314.8
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
60%Coral oddsEarned19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed