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Red88
775715.4
270629.8
765935.6
Blue101
502446.1
1016724.6
926220.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10110540608012014016018088101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+9
Endgame+11
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave3
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +5
15Coral scored#15
53Coral points54
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#4
6Processor points0
16Net points16
22Algae points16
75Total teleop70
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#4
6L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points2
88Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7659
#32
35.60.6
36.435.8
Auto4.4
Teleop21.3
End9.9
blue by 10.5
5024
#14
46.10.2
42.842.6
Auto13.0
Teleop28.8
End4.4
Second
2706
#36
29.80.6
31.430.8
Auto4.1
Teleop25.3
End0.4
red by 5.2
24.60.2
25.825.6
Auto5.8
Teleop18.2
End0.6
Third
7757
#50
15.40.6
17.717.1
Auto4.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 5.5
9262
#40
20.80.2
18.618.4
Auto6.0
Teleop12.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed42%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed