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Red120
503130.4
503628.7
128539.7
Blue182
415270.4
490785.1
285226.4
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9620250150250120182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+66
Endgame+68
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +35
3Leave6
3Coral scored#9
13Coral points45
16Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +31
17Coral scored#22
62Coral points79
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
12Processor points18
8Net points16
20Algae points34
82Total teleop113
Reef
10L4#13
4L3#8
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
24Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
8Foul points2
120Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1285
#31
39.70.9
38.839.7
Auto7.6
Teleop31.2
End0.9
blue by 45.4
4907
#10
85.10.1
83.984.0
Auto20.8
Teleop54.1
End10.3
Second
5031
#25
30.40.9
30.531.4
Auto5.0
Teleop24.6
End0.8
blue by 40.1
4152
#12
70.40.1
67.167.2
Auto21.2
Teleop40.8
End8.5
Third
5036
#22
28.70.9
29.230.1
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End10.9
red by 2.3
2852
#45
26.40.1
27.827.9
Auto6.1
Teleop18.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed43%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned