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Red70
571920.2
1002719.4
1021824.1
Blue111
263427.7
77115.5
494044.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions931265015020070111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+41
Endgame+43
Fouls+41
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +41
12Coral scored#19
44Coral points67
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
54Total teleop95
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#7
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
2Foul points0
70Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.11.3
24.122.8
Auto6.1
Teleop16.1
End1.9
blue by 20.0
44.10.3
43.843.5
Auto5.0
Teleop30.5
End8.5
Second
5719
#48
20.21.3
20.018.7
Auto3.5
Teleop14.3
End2.5
blue by 7.4
2634
#33
27.70.3
30.129.8
Auto4.3
Teleop22.4
End0.9
Third
19.41.3
22.921.6
Auto5.2
Teleop14.2
End-0.1
red by 3.9
771
#49
15.50.3
17.317.1
Auto2.6
Teleop11.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsMissed