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Red195
447676.1
503239.2
136051.2
Blue183
293556.4
755874.8
270834.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170170150160180190200195183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+24Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
6Coral scored#9
31Coral points44
40Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +28
26Coral scored#23
93Coral points81
5Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
30Processor points18
24Net points20
54Algae points38
147Total teleop119
Reef
10L4#11
11L3#11
8L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
6Foul points6
195Total score183

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.11.2
75.476.7
Auto19.7
Teleop53.6
End2.9
red by 1.4
74.80.5
68.969.4
Auto19.6
Teleop44.7
End10.5
Second
1360
#18
51.21.2
48.049.3
Auto12.2
Teleop35.9
End3.0
blue by 5.2
2935
#26
56.40.5
53.053.5
Auto10.3
Teleop41.3
End4.8
Third
5032
#30
39.21.2
35.737.0
Auto5.1
Teleop33.6
End0.5
red by 4.4
2708
#16
34.80.5
36.537.0
Auto7.1
Teleop24.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
66%Coral oddsEarned44%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsEarned