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Red163
888471.8
705824.1
952528.8
Blue194
965924.3
368398.3
86558.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12820150100150250163194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+57
Endgame+57
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave0
7Coral scored#11
33Coral points54
36Total auto54
TeleoperatedBlue +39
17Coral scored#24
61Coral points86
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
12Processor points18
12Net points20
24Algae points38
85Total teleop124
Reef
7L4#13
9L3#9
4L2#9
4L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#43
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
26Foul points0
163Total score194

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.80.7
71.972.6
Auto18.3
Teleop47.1
End6.3
blue by 26.5
98.31.0
96.397.3
Auto26.5
Teleop66.3
End5.4
Second
9525
#11
28.80.7
27.628.4
Auto7.0
Teleop19.7
End2.0
blue by 29.9
865
#13
58.71.0
57.058.0
Auto15.2
Teleop34.6
End8.9
Third
7058
#34
24.10.7
23.424.1
Auto8.6
Teleop13.2
End2.3
blue by 0.2
9659
#27
24.31.0
23.324.3
Auto7.6
Teleop14.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
57%Coral oddsMissed68%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned