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Red115
926315.3
591242.6
611043.6
Blue147
132567.7
130531.8
403968.6
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9519250150250300115147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+36
Teleop+22
Endgame+36
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +36
3Leave9
4Coral scored#10
19Coral points49
22Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +14
17Coral scored#18
61Coral points63
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
18Processor points6
8Net points4
26Algae points10
87Total teleop73
Reef
6L4#9
7L3#11
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
6Foul points2
115Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6110
#35
43.61.0
38.539.5
Auto5.5
Teleop35.6
End2.4
blue by 25.0
68.61.3
70.569.1
Auto20.1
Teleop42.5
End6.1
Second
5912
#39
42.61.0
41.542.5
Auto9.9
Teleop32.5
End0.2
blue by 25.1
67.71.3
62.861.5
Auto19.0
Teleop43.5
End5.2
Third
9263
#41
15.31.0
13.614.6
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End-0.1
blue by 16.5
1305
#17
31.81.3
31.630.3
Auto10.8
Teleop19.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsMissed84%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed81%Barge oddsEarned