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Red104
808941.6
1001521.5
747530.1
Blue142
219835.1
663231.6
373951.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1011216080140160180200104142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+28
Endgame+38
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points23
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +17
14Coral scored#16
50Coral points59
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
18Processor points18
16Net points24
34Algae points42
84Total teleop101
Reef
5L4#8
4L3#4
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
2Foul points2
104Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8089
#19
41.60.9
36.937.8
Auto6.5
Teleop26.9
End8.2
blue by 9.6
3739
#21
51.22.3
45.147.4
Auto9.0
Teleop39.8
End2.4
Second
7475
#42
30.10.9
32.032.9
Auto3.6
Teleop24.8
End1.6
blue by 5.0
2198
#23
35.12.3
29.632.0
Auto7.6
Teleop24.1
End3.4
Third
21.50.9
19.920.8
Auto6.7
Teleop13.0
End1.8
blue by 10.1
6632
#24
31.62.3
30.232.6
Auto5.1
Teleop18.9
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned