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Red56
270834.8
263427.7
1002719.4
Blue75
1016724.6
503130.4
270629.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions991004060801201401601805675

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+17
Endgame+17
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +14
9Coral scored#9
33Coral points33
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
43Total teleop57
Reef
5L4#4
2L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points2
56Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2708
#16
34.82.2
37.034.8
Auto7.1
Teleop24.4
End3.3
red by 4.4
5031
#25
30.41.0
31.430.4
Auto5.0
Teleop24.6
End0.8
Second
2634
#33
27.72.2
29.827.7
Auto4.3
Teleop22.4
End0.9
blue by 2.1
2706
#36
29.81.0
30.829.8
Auto4.1
Teleop25.3
End0.4
Third
19.42.2
21.619.4
Auto5.2
Teleop14.2
End-0.1
blue by 5.2
24.61.0
25.624.6
Auto5.8
Teleop18.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed41%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed6%Barge oddsMissed