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Red177
403968.6
926315.3
415270.4
Blue151
834928.7
965924.3
293556.4
98%Model gave it2%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17910850150200250177151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+26Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
6Leave9
9Coral scored#3
45Coral points17
51Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +1
18Coral scored#24
66Coral points85
2Processor algae#2
8Net algae#3
12Processor points12
32Net points12
44Algae points24
110Total teleop109
Reef
6L4#10
9L3#8
7L2#6
5L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
177Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4152
#12
70.40.7
67.267.9
Auto21.2
Teleop40.8
End8.5
red by 14.1
2935
#26
56.42.1
53.555.7
Auto10.3
Teleop41.3
End4.8
Second
68.60.7
69.169.8
Auto20.1
Teleop42.5
End6.1
red by 40.0
8349
#15
28.72.1
26.528.7
Auto5.5
Teleop18.0
End5.1
Third
9263
#41
15.30.7
14.615.3
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End-0.1
blue by 9.0
9659
#27
24.32.1
21.123.3
Auto7.6
Teleop14.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
66%Coral oddsEarned14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsEarned