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Red179
705824.1
926220.8
490785.1
Blue192
494044.1
447676.1
124178.2
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138239100150200300179192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+19
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
7Coral scored#7
34Coral points33
40Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +24
20Coral scored#29
73Coral points103
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#7
18Processor points12
28Net points28
46Algae points40
119Total teleop143
Reef
7L4#15
11L3#9
3L2#6
6L1 · trough#6
37Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
6Foul points0
179Total score192

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4907
#10
85.12.4
84.086.3
Auto20.8
Teleop54.1
End10.3
red by 7.0
78.21.5
80.579.0
Auto22.0
Teleop53.6
End2.6
Second
7058
#34
24.12.4
21.023.4
Auto8.6
Teleop13.2
End2.3
blue by 52.0
76.11.5
76.775.1
Auto19.7
Teleop53.6
End2.9
Third
9262
#40
20.82.4
18.420.8
Auto6.0
Teleop12.3
End2.4
blue by 23.2
44.11.5
43.542.0
Auto5.0
Teleop30.5
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed97%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned