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Red133
1055448.2
888471.8
747530.1
Blue134
952528.8
591242.6
873114.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1818450100150200250133134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+23Teleop
+27Endgame
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave0
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points16
34Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +5
15Coral scored#13
53Coral points46
2Processor algae#3
7Net algae#6
12Processor points18
28Net points24
40Algae points42
93Total teleop88
Reef
7L4#6
8L3#3
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#25
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points28
133Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.82.8
74.771.9
Auto18.3
Teleop47.1
End6.3
red by 29.2
5912
#39
42.60.1
42.542.6
Auto9.9
Teleop32.5
End0.2
Second
48.22.8
49.046.2
Auto7.6
Teleop39.2
End1.4
red by 19.5
9525
#11
28.80.1
27.627.6
Auto7.0
Teleop19.7
End2.0
Third
7475
#42
30.12.8
32.930.1
Auto3.6
Teleop24.8
End1.6
red by 15.2
8731
#37
14.90.1
14.814.9
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
84%Coral oddsEarned23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed