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Red166
502446.1
752057.2
952528.8
Blue197
136051.2
494044.1
1055448.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15617180100120140180200220240166197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+25
Endgame+25
Fouls+31
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points14
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +39
21Coral scored#29
75Coral points106
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#9
12Processor points12
28Net points36
40Algae points48
115Total teleop154
Reef
11L4#14
6L3#7
7L2#8
4L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#43
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points6
166Total score197

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7520
#20
57.20.2
56.957.2
Auto18.6
Teleop36.3
End2.4
red by 6.0
1360
#18
51.20.6
49.249.8
Auto12.2
Teleop35.9
End3.0
Second
5024
#14
46.10.2
45.946.1
Auto13.0
Teleop28.8
End4.4
blue by 2.1
48.20.6
46.246.8
Auto7.6
Teleop39.2
End1.4
Third
9525
#11
28.80.2
28.528.8
Auto7.0
Teleop19.7
End2.0
blue by 15.3
44.10.6
42.142.7
Auto5.0
Teleop30.5
End8.5