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Red191
293556.4
808941.6
86558.7
Blue207
415270.4
611043.6
978559.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168182100150200250191207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+20
Endgame+10
Fouls+16
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
7Coral scored#7
37Coral points37
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +20
23Coral scored#27
84Coral points98
2Processor algae#3
8Net algae#8
12Processor points18
32Net points32
44Algae points50
128Total teleop148
Reef
12L4#12
7L3#8
6L2#8
5L1 · trough#6
40Game pieces#45
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points6
191Total score207

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#13
58.70.7
57.958.7
Auto15.2
Teleop34.6
End8.9
blue by 11.8
4152
#12
70.40.7
67.768.4
Auto21.2
Teleop40.8
End8.5
Second
2935
#26
56.40.7
55.656.4
Auto10.3
Teleop41.3
End4.8
blue by 3.5
59.90.7
57.157.9
Auto14.0
Teleop42.9
End3.0
Third
8089
#19
41.60.7
40.841.6
Auto6.5
Teleop26.9
End8.2
blue by 2.0
6110
#35
43.60.7
40.841.6
Auto5.5
Teleop35.6
End2.4