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Red225
368398.3
128539.7
447676.1
Blue164
136051.2
494044.1
1055448.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24515650100200300350225164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+63Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave3
9Coral scored#3
44Coral points17
44Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +39
35Coral scored#21
125Coral points74
1Processor algae#5
9Net algae#6
6Processor points30
36Net points24
42Algae points54
167Total teleop128
Reef
15L4#8
15L3#8
6L2#4
8L1 · trough#4
54Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points0
225Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
98.30.2
97.397.1
Auto26.5
Teleop66.3
End5.4
red by 47.1
1360
#18
51.20.1
49.149.2
Auto12.2
Teleop35.9
End3.0
Second
76.10.2
75.175.0
Auto19.7
Teleop53.6
End2.9
red by 27.9
48.20.1
46.246.2
Auto7.6
Teleop39.2
End1.4
Third
1285
#31
39.70.2
38.738.6
Auto7.6
Teleop31.2
End0.9
blue by 4.3
44.10.1
42.042.1
Auto5.0
Teleop30.5
End8.5