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Red215
888471.8
124178.2
503239.2
Blue149
502446.1
752057.2
952528.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions216136100150200250300215149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+62Teleop
+52Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave6
12Coral scored#7
58Coral points34
58Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +44
28Coral scored#16
101Coral points59
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
18Processor points12
16Net points20
34Algae points32
135Total teleop91
Reef
15L4#10
10L3#5
8L2#4
7L1 · trough#4
47Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
2Cage & park12
2Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +66
20Foul points6
215Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.20.1
79.078.9
Auto22.0
Teleop53.6
End2.6
red by 21.0
7520
#20
57.20.1
56.856.9
Auto18.6
Teleop36.3
End2.4
Second
71.80.1
72.672.5
Auto18.3
Teleop47.1
End6.3
red by 25.6
5024
#14
46.10.1
45.845.9
Auto13.0
Teleop28.8
End4.4
Third
5032
#30
39.20.1
40.039.9
Auto5.1
Teleop33.6
End0.5
red by 10.4
9525
#11
28.80.1
28.428.5
Auto7.0
Teleop19.7
End2.0