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Red187
503628.7
403968.6
490785.1
Blue202
136051.2
494044.1
1055448.2
92%Model gave it8%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions217162100150200250300187202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+19
Endgame+19
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave3
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points31
30Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +15
29Coral scored#35
103Coral points126
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#2
18Processor points18
16Net points8
34Algae points26
137Total teleop152
Reef
14L4#13
12L3#14
4L2#8
5L1 · trough#6
42Game pieces#46
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +15
4Foul points0
187Total score202

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4907
#10
85.10.5
85.685.1
Auto20.8
Teleop54.1
End10.3
red by 34.0
1360
#18
51.20.9
49.850.6
Auto12.2
Teleop35.9
End3.0
Second
68.60.5
69.168.6
Auto20.1
Teleop42.5
End6.1
red by 20.4
48.20.9
46.847.7
Auto7.6
Teleop39.2
End1.4
Third
5036
#22
28.70.5
29.228.7
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End10.9
blue by 15.4
44.10.9
42.743.5
Auto5.0
Teleop30.5
End8.5