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Red272
2056110.7
467897.4
790242.1
Blue225
747644.2
494686.9
540989.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265228200250300350272225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+27Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
6Leave0
13Coral scored#10
65Coral points51
71Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +7
37Coral scored#29
133Coral points104
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#9
12Processor points18
20Net points36
32Algae points54
165Total teleop158
Reef
15L4#19
10L3#9
15L2#5
10L1 · trough#6
57Game pieces#51
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
272Total score225

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
110.70.3
110.4110.7
Auto31.3
Teleop69.1
End10.3
red by 21.4
89.30.1
89.489.3
Auto25.2
Teleop61.1
End3.0
Second
97.40.3
97.097.4
Auto26.2
Teleop61.2
End9.9
red by 10.4
86.90.1
87.086.9
Auto20.8
Teleop55.4
End10.7
Third
7902
#31
42.10.3
41.842.1
Auto10.9
Teleop23.6
End7.6
blue by 2.1
7476
#19
44.20.1
44.344.2
Auto6.6
Teleop34.7
End3.0