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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds
Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+16Teleop
+36Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
6Leave0
14Coral scored#12
72Coral points58
78Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +4
33Coral scored#31
117Coral points113
3Processor algae#5
5Net algae#4
18Processor points30
20Net points16
38Algae points46
155Total teleop159
Reef
13L4#16
10L3#10
15L2#12
9L1 · trough#5
55Game pieces#52
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +20
2Foul points18
271Total score251
Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
red by 21.4
Second
red by 10.4
