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Red217
747644.2
494686.9
540989.3
Blue207
111482.2
77236.3
61070.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions238201150250300217207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+16Teleop
+14Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave3
9Coral scored#9
44Coral points47
44Total auto50
TeleoperatedRed +22
28Coral scored#24
99Coral points87
6Processor algae#3
6Net algae#8
36Processor points18
24Net points32
60Algae points50
159Total teleop137
Reef
10L4#11
12L3#9
7L2#9
8L1 · trough#4
49Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points4
217Total score207

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.30.1
89.489.3
Auto25.2
Teleop61.1
End3.0
red by 7.1
82.20.3
81.982.2
Auto20.1
Teleop56.2
End5.9
Second
86.90.1
87.086.9
Auto20.8
Teleop55.4
End10.7
red by 16.0
610
#8
70.90.3
70.670.9
Auto17.2
Teleop45.5
End8.2
Third
7476
#19
44.20.1
44.344.2
Auto6.6
Teleop34.7
End3.0
red by 7.9
772
#45
36.30.3
36.036.3
Auto5.0
Teleop28.7
End2.6