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Red210
316153.0
18859.8
491767.4
Blue236
111482.2
77236.3
61070.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181204150250300210236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+14
Fouls+26
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave0
10Coral scored#7
48Coral points37
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +28
23Coral scored#31
81Coral points111
4Processor algae#3
7Net algae#8
24Processor points18
28Net points32
52Algae points50
133Total teleop161
Reef
8L4#12
13L3#15
8L2#5
4L1 · trough#6
44Game pieces#49
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points12
210Total score236

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4917
#10
67.40.7
66.767.4
Auto19.0
Teleop37.7
End10.7
blue by 14.8
82.20.8
81.081.9
Auto20.1
Teleop56.2
End5.9
Second
188
#21
59.80.7
59.159.8
Auto18.2
Teleop36.0
End5.5
blue by 11.2
610
#8
70.90.8
69.870.6
Auto17.2
Teleop45.5
End8.2
Third
3161
#23
53.00.7
52.353.0
Auto12.6
Teleop33.3
End7.1
red by 16.7
772
#45
36.30.8
35.136.0
Auto5.0
Teleop28.7
End2.6