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Red167
467897.4
956220.5
133421.1
Blue88
61070.9
1027929.1
540827.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1651045015020025016788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+77Teleop
+79Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points24
40Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +67
21Coral scored#7
75Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
12Processor points6
24Net points12
36Algae points18
111Total teleop44
Reef
10L4#5
8L3#4
6L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
35Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +79
0Foul points0
167Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.41.6
96.097.7
Auto26.2
Teleop61.2
End9.9
red by 26.4
610
#8
70.90.7
59.058.3
Auto17.2
Teleop45.5
End8.2
Second
1334
#50
21.11.6
27.929.6
Auto4.3
Teleop16.2
End0.7
blue by 8.0
29.10.7
21.220.5
Auto6.2
Teleop21.4
End1.6
Third
9562
#49
20.51.6
18.320.0
Auto6.0
Teleop11.9
End2.6
blue by 6.7
5408
#40
27.20.7
18.417.7
Auto4.8
Teleop21.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
50%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned