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Red127
912742.0
18859.8
468829.5
Blue119
956935.2
771238.7
430843.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109854060100120140160127119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+14Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
6Leave6
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points15
30Total auto21
TeleoperatedRed +5
14Coral scored#14
49Coral points52
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
12Processor points12
24Net points16
36Algae points28
85Total teleop80
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#4
3L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +6
6Cage & park12
6Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
6Foul points6
127Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#21
59.81.7
48.149.8
Auto18.2
Teleop36.0
End5.5
red by 16.7
4308
#29
43.12.0
37.439.5
Auto8.4
Teleop32.6
End2.1
Second
9127
#43
42.01.7
29.330.9
Auto7.6
Teleop33.3
End1.1
red by 3.3
7712
#33
38.72.0
22.924.9
Auto6.6
Teleop28.2
End3.9
Third
4688
#36
29.51.7
18.820.4
Auto4.1
Teleop24.0
End1.4
blue by 5.7
9569
#24
35.22.0
22.024.0
Auto6.9
Teleop26.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed