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Red122
978227.6
494686.9
958026.3
Blue89
747644.2
122935.4
720046.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132109608010012014016018020012289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+23Teleop
+23Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +9
15Coral scored#14
53Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
71Total teleop62
Reef
5L4#7
6L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
12Foul points2
122Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.90.2
76.576.3
Auto20.8
Teleop55.4
End10.7
red by 40.4
7200
#14
46.60.6
28.928.3
Auto6.6
Teleop34.4
End5.5
Second
9782
#35
27.60.2
15.915.7
Auto6.0
Teleop19.5
End2.1
blue by 16.6
7476
#19
44.20.6
40.740.1
Auto6.6
Teleop34.7
End3.0
Third
9580
#46
26.30.2
20.119.9
Auto5.6
Teleop18.9
End1.8
blue by 9.1
1229
#38
35.40.6
26.726.1
Auto6.2
Teleop27.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
36%Coral oddsEarned18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsEarned