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Red99
906236.0
1061122.7
238635.5
Blue150
672534.3
406953.9
220079.9
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions711755010015020025099150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+41
Endgame+51
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave9
5Coral scored#7
25Coral points35
31Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +28
11Coral scored#16
38Coral points56
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
56Total teleop84
Reef
4L4#9
6L3#4
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
6Foul points6
99Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9062
#22
36.01.2
24.926.1
Auto8.5
Teleop26.6
End0.9
blue by 43.9
79.90.6
80.780.0
Auto23.8
Teleop54.6
End1.6
Second
2386
#25
35.51.2
30.832.0
Auto8.9
Teleop22.1
End4.5
blue by 18.4
4069
#11
53.90.6
41.240.6
Auto14.7
Teleop33.4
End5.8
Third
22.71.2
18.920.1
Auto6.2
Teleop14.3
End2.2
blue by 11.6
6725
#32
34.30.6
31.330.7
Auto7.7
Teleop25.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed48%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned