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Qual 52025 FIRST Ontario Provincial Championship - Technology Division
Red197
2056110.7
686536.3
78152.3
Blue137
808142.3
588548.5
540677.8
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212114100150200250197137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+68Teleop
+60Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
6Coral scored#6
31Coral points31
40Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +65
26Coral scored#11
93Coral points38
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#6
18Processor points12
28Net points24
46Algae points36
139Total teleop74
Reef
11L4#8
10L3#4
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
42Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
2Foul points2
197Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#3
110.70.2
112.3→112.1
Auto31.3
Teleop69.1
End10.3
red by 32.9
5406
#4
77.80.7
63.9→64.6
Auto18.0
Teleop48.3
End11.5
Second
781
#17
52.30.2
47.2→47.0
Auto11.1
Teleop39.0
End2.2
red by 3.8
5885
#30
48.50.7
22.9→23.5
Auto16.8
Teleop29.9
End1.9
Third
6865
#37
36.30.2
32.1→31.9
Auto5.7
Teleop29.5
End1.1
blue by 6.0
8081
#26
42.30.7
32.9→33.6
Auto8.1
Teleop24.6
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
78%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned