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Red115
720046.6
978227.6
238635.5
Blue98
672534.3
686536.3
956935.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions841055015020011598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+1
+11Endgame
+17Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points19
19Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +1
14Coral scored#16
52Coral points57
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
74Total teleop75
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#6
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#24
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
6Foul points0
115Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7200
#14
46.61.6
28.329.9
Auto6.6
Teleop34.4
End5.5
red by 10.3
6865
#37
36.30.2
31.932.2
Auto5.7
Teleop29.5
End1.1
Second
2386
#25
35.51.6
32.033.7
Auto8.9
Teleop22.1
End4.5
red by 0.3
9569
#24
35.20.2
24.024.2
Auto6.9
Teleop26.7
End1.6
Third
9782
#35
27.61.6
15.717.3
Auto6.0
Teleop19.5
End2.1
blue by 6.7
6725
#32
34.30.2
30.730.9
Auto7.7
Teleop25.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed