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Red126
958026.3
133421.1
491767.4
Blue170
494686.9
567237.0
748048.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10715550200126170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+54
Endgame+54
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +28
6Leave0
4Coral scored#11
20Coral points54
26Total auto54
TeleoperatedBlue +26
13Coral scored#21
46Coral points76
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
74Total teleop100
Reef
6L4#11
6L3#9
3L2#8
2L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#37
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
10Foul points0
126Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4917
#10
67.40.4
60.060.4
Auto19.0
Teleop37.7
End10.7
blue by 19.6
86.91.8
76.378.1
Auto20.8
Teleop55.4
End10.7
Second
9580
#46
26.30.4
19.920.3
Auto5.6
Teleop18.9
End1.8
blue by 22.1
7480
#16
48.41.8
43.945.7
Auto10.7
Teleop33.0
End4.7
Third
1334
#50
21.10.4
29.630.0
Auto4.3
Teleop16.2
End0.7
blue by 15.9
5672
#28
37.01.8
23.224.9
Auto5.4
Teleop26.3
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsEarned61%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned