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Red128
906236.0
78152.3
771238.7
Blue83
375627.3
956220.5
316153.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1121119010012012883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+43Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave6
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points13
25Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +37
18Coral scored#8
65Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
87Total teleop50
Reef
6L4#4
9L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
128Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
#17
52.32.0
47.049.0
Auto11.1
Teleop39.0
End2.2
blue by 0.7
3161
#23
53.00.8
47.446.6
Auto12.6
Teleop33.3
End7.1
Second
7712
#33
38.72.0
24.926.9
Auto6.6
Teleop28.2
End3.9
red by 11.5
3756
#48
27.30.8
27.326.5
Auto1.2
Teleop21.6
End4.4
Third
9062
#22
36.02.0
26.128.1
Auto8.5
Teleop26.6
End0.9
red by 15.5
9562
#49
20.50.8
20.019.2
Auto6.0
Teleop11.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned