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Red152
588548.5
270258.6
18859.8
Blue156
220079.9
111482.2
122935.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11520050100150250152156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+4
+6Endgame
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave6
6Coral scored#7
28Coral points34
37Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +1
22Coral scored#19
79Coral points70
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
6Processor points12
16Net points20
22Algae points32
101Total teleop102
Reef
7L4#10
11L3#5
7L2#7
3L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#33
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points10
152Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#21
59.82.4
49.852.2
Auto18.2
Teleop36.0
End5.5
blue by 22.4
82.22.3
74.972.5
Auto20.1
Teleop56.2
End5.9
Second
2702
#12
58.62.4
42.144.5
Auto7.3
Teleop43.2
End8.1
blue by 21.3
79.92.3
80.077.7
Auto23.8
Teleop54.6
End1.6
Third
5885
#30
48.52.4
23.526.0
Auto16.8
Teleop29.9
End1.9
red by 13.1
1229
#38
35.42.3
26.123.8
Auto6.2
Teleop27.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed93%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed