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Qual 202025 FIRST Ontario Provincial Championship - Technology Division
Red80
133421.1
540827.2
587033.5
Blue155
956935.2
588548.5
406953.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7810120406012014016018080155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+38
Teleop+75
Endgame+73
Fouls+75
AutonomousBlue +38
3Leave9
1Coral scored#8
6Coral points38
9Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +37
12Coral scored#16
43Coral points56
2Processor algae#4
3Net algae#6
12Processor points24
12Net points24
24Algae points48
67Total teleop104
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#7
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#5
18Game pieces#34
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
0Foul points2
80Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5870
#42
33.50.3
27.8→28.2
Auto4.5
Teleop27.3
End1.6
blue by 20.5
4069
#11
53.94.1
41.1→45.2
Auto14.7
Teleop33.4
End5.8
Second
5408
#40
27.20.3
17.0→17.3
Auto4.8
Teleop21.1
End1.3
blue by 21.3
5885
#30
48.54.1
26.0→30.1
Auto16.8
Teleop29.9
End1.9
Third
1334
#50
21.10.3
30.0→30.3
Auto4.3
Teleop16.2
End0.7
blue by 14.0
9569
#24
35.24.1
24.2→28.4
Auto6.9
Teleop26.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed