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Red178
790242.1
540677.8
697843.6
Blue210
748048.4
467897.4
18859.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141205100250178210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+28
Endgame+30
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +9
3Leave0
9Coral scored#12
46Coral points58
49Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +19
20Coral scored#21
71Coral points76
2Processor algae#5
5Net algae#4
12Processor points30
20Net points16
32Algae points46
103Total teleop122
Reef
13L4#15
7L3#7
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
36Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
2Foul points4
178Total score210

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.82.2
66.368.5
Auto18.0
Teleop48.3
End11.5
blue by 19.5
97.40.7
97.097.7
Auto26.2
Teleop61.2
End9.9
Second
6978
#15
43.62.2
37.439.6
Auto7.7
Teleop34.3
End1.7
blue by 16.2
188
#21
59.80.7
52.253.0
Auto18.2
Teleop36.0
End5.5
Third
7902
#31
42.12.2
38.841.1
Auto10.9
Teleop23.6
End7.6
blue by 6.3
7480
#16
48.40.7
45.746.4
Auto10.7
Teleop33.0
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsEarned61%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned