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Red159
808142.3
686536.3
540989.3
Blue69
122935.4
77236.3
85432.7
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17460010015020015969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+90Teleop
+90Endgame
+90Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
9Leave6
7Coral scored#1
35Coral points3
44Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +55
19Coral scored#9
69Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
101Total teleop46
Reef
10L4#3
7L3#4
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
33Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +90
0Foul points0
159Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.30.6
84.184.7
Auto25.2
Teleop61.1
End3.0
red by 53.0
772
#45
36.30.2
23.824.0
Auto5.0
Teleop28.7
End2.6
Second
8081
#26
42.30.6
33.434.0
Auto8.1
Teleop24.6
End9.7
red by 6.9
1229
#38
35.40.2
23.823.9
Auto6.2
Teleop27.3
End1.9
Third
6865
#37
36.30.6
32.232.8
Auto5.7
Teleop29.5
End1.1
red by 3.6
854
#41
32.70.2
19.119.3
Auto4.1
Teleop20.4
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsEarned