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Red157
497652.4
316153.0
468829.5
Blue108
872938.9
492047.1
1061122.7
78%Model gave it22%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12399406080140160180200157108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+29Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
3Leave0
8Coral scored#5
38Coral points26
41Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +14
19Coral scored#13
68Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
90Total teleop76
Reef
8L4#8
9L3#6
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#24
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
157Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3161
#23
53.02.5
46.649.2
Auto12.6
Teleop33.3
End7.1
red by 5.9
4920
#44
47.10.6
47.247.8
Auto14.5
Teleop31.5
End1.1
Second
4976
#20
52.42.5
46.449.0
Auto14.6
Teleop30.6
End7.2
red by 13.5
8729
#18
38.90.6
27.227.7
Auto7.8
Teleop29.1
End2.1
Third
4688
#36
29.52.5
20.122.6
Auto4.1
Teleop24.0
End1.4
red by 6.8
22.70.6
19.720.3
Auto6.2
Teleop14.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed