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Red156
567237.0
720046.6
131049.7
Blue139
260937.2
672534.3
111482.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9715350200156139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
+5Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave3
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points31
26Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +13
21Coral scored#17
74Coral points61
1Processor algae#3
6Net algae#3
6Processor points18
24Net points12
30Algae points30
104Total teleop91
Reef
6L4#9
10L3#8
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#29
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
156Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1310
#27
49.73.6
41.444.9
Auto8.3
Teleop32.2
End9.2
blue by 32.5
82.20.1
72.572.6
Auto20.1
Teleop56.2
End5.9
Second
7200
#14
46.63.6
29.933.5
Auto6.6
Teleop34.4
End5.5
red by 9.4
2609
#34
37.20.1
31.331.4
Auto5.7
Teleop24.1
End7.3
Third
5672
#28
37.03.6
24.928.5
Auto5.4
Teleop26.3
End5.2
red by 2.7
6725
#32
34.30.1
30.931.0
Auto7.7
Teleop25.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed43%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned