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Qual 262025 FIRST Ontario Provincial Championship - Technology Division
Red210
2056110.7
587033.5
747644.2
Blue122
748048.4
540827.2
771238.7
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2218850150200250300210122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+86Teleop
+80Endgame
+88Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave3
7Coral scored#4
35Coral points20
41Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +68
19Coral scored#15
69Coral points55
8Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
48Processor points6
24Net points12
72Algae points18
141Total teleop73
Reef
10L4#6
5L3#6
7L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +6
20Cage & park26
20Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +88
8Foul points0
210Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#3
110.70.6
112.8→113.4
Auto31.3
Teleop69.1
End10.3
red by 62.3
7480
#16
48.41.3
46.4→47.8
Auto10.7
Teleop33.0
End4.7
Second
7476
#19
44.20.6
40.3→40.9
Auto6.6
Teleop34.7
End3.0
red by 5.5
7712
#33
38.71.3
29.7→31.0
Auto6.6
Teleop28.2
End3.9
Third
5870
#42
33.50.6
28.2→28.8
Auto4.5
Teleop27.3
End1.6
red by 6.3
5408
#40
27.21.3
17.3→18.7
Auto4.8
Teleop21.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
80%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsEarned