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Red115
375627.3
495130.9
497652.4
Blue233
467897.4
122935.4
540677.8
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9921850150200250300115233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+100
Endgame+108
Fouls+118
AutonomousBlue +28
3Leave3
3Coral scored#8
13Coral points41
16Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +72
17Coral scored#31
61Coral points113
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
6Processor points18
16Net points24
22Algae points42
83Total teleop155
Reef
10L4#16
3L3#7
5L2#10
2L1 · trough#6
25Game pieces#48
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +118
0Foul points10
115Total score233

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4976
#20
52.40.4
49.048.6
Auto14.6
Teleop30.6
End7.2
blue by 44.9
97.41.0
97.798.7
Auto26.2
Teleop61.2
End9.9
Second
4951
#13
30.90.4
26.025.6
Auto6.3
Teleop23.3
End1.4
blue by 46.9
77.81.0
68.569.5
Auto18.0
Teleop48.3
End11.5
Third
3756
#48
27.30.4
27.627.2
Auto1.2
Teleop21.6
End4.4
blue by 8.1
1229
#38
35.41.0
23.924.9
Auto6.2
Teleop27.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed89%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned